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Erie County/Orchard Park/14127

14127

ZIPSAFMR
Erie County, NY
Zillow

ZIP Investment Score

83Below average

095130300
BRFMR
Eff. Rent
0 BR$1,330$1,460
1 BR$1,360$1,500
2 BR$1,610$1,770
3 BR$1,960$2,160
4 BR$2,240$2,400
5 BR$2,576Not available
6 BR$2,962Not available
7 BR$3,407Not available
8 BR$3,918Not available

Purchase Price Calculator

Maximum purchase price
$201,105

Cost breakdown

+Likely effective rent$1,770
HUD FMR$1,610
Market rent$2,010
Est. payment standard (110%)Used$1,770
-Principal and interest-$1,017
Loan amount$160,884
Down payment$40,221
Rate6.50%
Term30 years
-Operating costs-$553
Property taxes-$201
Insurance-$175
Utilities$0
HOA$0
Management-$177
=Target cash flow+$200
Calculation mode

Hold period projections

Annual appreciation rate
3-year hold
+$28,427(70.7% ROI)
Projected value
$216,568
Return breakdown
Property appreciation+$15,463
Loan principal paid down+$5,764
Rental cash flow+$7,200
5-year hold
+$48,706(121.1% ROI)
Projected value
$227,532
Return breakdown
Property appreciation+$26,427
Loan principal paid down+$10,279
Rental cash flow+$12,000
10-year hold
+$104,819(260.6% ROI)
Projected value
$257,431
Return breakdown
Property appreciation+$56,326
Loan principal paid down+$24,493
Rental cash flow+$24,000

Public Housing Authority

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Rolodex

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Market Alignment

Studio
0.69
1 BR
0.75
2 BR
0.80
3 BR
0.78
4 BR
0.90
0.701.001.30aligned range
Historical
FY 2023-2027
FMR
FY2027
Market rent
last ~365 days
Property value
--
Tax rate
--
Mortgage rate
--

ZIP 14127 fair market rent, FY 2027

For FY 2027, HUD's Small Area Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom unit in ZIP 14127 (Orchard Park, NY) is $1,610 a month. That is up 4.5% from $1,540 in FY 2026. Orchard Park is in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY MSA, where HUD requires housing authorities to set voucher payment standards by ZIP code using Small Area FMRs. Among 89 ZIP codes in Erie County, 14127 is tied for the 15th-highest two-bedroom rent (county range $1,010–$2,130). The median county two-bedroom FMR in New York is $1,385, so ZIP 14127 is 16% above it.

FY 2027 rent by bedroom

FY 2027 fair market rent by bedroom for 14127
BedroomsFY 2027Change90–110% range
Studio$1,330+4.7%$1,197–$1,463
1BR$1,360+3.8%$1,224–$1,496
2BR$1,610+4.5%$1,449–$1,771
3BR$1,960+4.3%$1,764–$2,156
4BR$2,240+4.7%$2,016–$2,464

Fair market rent history, FY 2023–2027

Fair market rent by fiscal year for 14127
Fiscal yearStudio1BR2BR3BR4BR
FY 2027$1,330$1,360$1,610$1,960$2,240
FY 2026$1,270$1,310$1,540$1,880$2,140
FY 2025$1,120$1,160$1,360$1,660$1,880
FY 2024$1,100$1,140$1,340$1,640$1,850
FY 2023$1,000$1,050$1,230$1,510$1,690

Two-bedroom rent in nearby Erie County ZIP codes

FY 2027 two-bedroom Small Area FMR by ZIP code
ZIP code2 bedroomvs. 14127
14110$1,460−9.3%
14111$1,230−23.6%
14112$1,460−9.3%
14127Current$1,610—
14129$1,170−27.3%
14134$1,050−34.8%
14139$1,090−32.3%
14140$1,460−9.3%
14141$1,010−37.3%
14145$1,010−37.3%
14150$1,520−5.6%
14151$1,460−9.3%

Questions about ZIP 14127 rents

How much will Section 8 pay for a two-bedroom in ZIP 14127?

Housing authorities set voucher payment standards, normally between 90% and 110% of the FMR. With a two-bedroom FMR of $1,610, that basic range is $1,449 to $1,771 a month. The voucher pays the lower of the payment standard or the gross rent, minus the tenant's share, which is usually about 30% of adjusted monthly income. Confirm the local housing authority's current schedule before underwriting.

Which HUD fair market rent area is ZIP 14127 in?

ZIP 14127 is in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY MSA. HUD requires Small Area FMRs in this area, so payment standards are set by ZIP code.

How much did fair market rent change in ZIP 14127 for FY 2027?

The two-bedroom FMR rose 4.5%, from $1,540 in FY 2026 to $1,610 in FY 2027. Since FY 2023 it has risen 30.9%.

When do FY 2027 fair market rents take effect?

HUD's FY 2027 fair market rents took effect on October 1, 2026. When FMRs change, housing authorities generally have up to three months to bring payment standards back within 90% to 110% of the new FMR.

Source: HUD FY 2027 Small Area Fair Market Rents and area FMRs. Payment-standard ranges are 90% to 110% of FMR, HUD's basic range, not a housing authority's published schedule. How payment standards are set

County fair market rentOrchard Park, NY fair market rentNY statewide rentsWhat is SAFMR?Data sources